Внедрение «зелёной» энергетики отстаёт от графика во всём мире

Внедрение «зелёной» энергетики отстаёт от графика во всём мире

По планам Международного энергетического агентства, МАЭ, в мире к 2030 году треть всей электроэнергии должна производиться исключительно возобновляемыми методами. Но сегодня, в 2015, трудно поверить в столь оптимистичные прогнозы. Во всём мире, за исключением разве что Германии, график перехода на «зелёную» энергетику не выдерживается.

Внедрение «зелёной» энергетики отстаёт от графика во всём мире

Многие эксперты отмечают, что темпы роста доли возобновляемой энергетики в мире невелики. Так, Сергей Писарев, аналитик ИК Rye, Man & Gor Securitie, утверждает, что в США по состоянию на 2014 год доля «зелёной» энергетики всего 9.8%. Теоретически можно предположить, что за ближайшие 10-15 лет будет изобретена какая-то альтернативная технология получения электроэнергии возобновляемым путём, которая сможет конкурировать по удельной себестоимости киловатта с традиционными. Или резко вырастут инвестиции в эту отрасль. Но шансы очень невелики.

Почему именно от США весь мир ждёт шагов в сторону «зелёной» энергетики? Эта страна вышла в лидеры по вредным выбросам в атмосферу, наряду с Китаем, Индией Японией и Евросоюзом. Российская энергетика серьёзного вклада не вносит, всего 4% от общемирового объёма. Так что для нас переход на „зелёные“ технологии ещё менее оправдан.

Но роль энергоэффективных технологий, сокращения потерь электроэнергии при транспортировке и энергосбережения всё же сложно переоценить. Их внедрение необходимо. Но применять их можно и в условиях традиционных методов производства электроэнергии. Ожидать, что инвестиции государства и бизнеса в «зелёную» энергетику будут сравнимы хотя бы с половиной трат той же Германии, не приходится.

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