Архив метки: США

Внедрение «зелёной» энергетики отстаёт от графика во всём мире

Внедрение «зелёной» энергетики отстаёт от графика во всём мире

По планам Международного энергетического агентства, МАЭ, в мире к 2030 году треть всей электроэнергии должна производиться исключительно возобновляемыми методами. Но сегодня, в 2015, трудно поверить в столь оптимистичные прогнозы. Во всём мире, за исключением разве что Германии, график перехода на «зелёную» энергетику не выдерживается.

Внедрение «зелёной» энергетики отстаёт от графика во всём мире

Многие эксперты отмечают, что темпы роста доли возобновляемой энергетики в мире невелики. Так, Сергей Писарев, аналитик ИК Rye, Man & Gor Securitie, утверждает, что в США по состоянию на 2014 год доля «зелёной» энергетики всего 9.8%. Теоретически можно предположить, что за ближайшие 10-15 лет будет изобретена какая-то альтернативная технология получения электроэнергии возобновляемым путём, которая сможет конкурировать по удельной себестоимости киловатта с традиционными. Или резко вырастут инвестиции в эту отрасль. Но шансы очень невелики.

Почему именно от США весь мир ждёт шагов в сторону «зелёной» энергетики? Эта страна вышла в лидеры по вредным выбросам в атмосферу, наряду с Китаем, Индией Японией и Евросоюзом. Российская энергетика серьёзного вклада не вносит, всего 4% от общемирового объёма. Так что для нас переход на „зелёные“ технологии ещё менее оправдан.

Но роль энергоэффективных технологий, сокращения потерь электроэнергии при транспортировке и энергосбережения всё же сложно переоценить. Их внедрение необходимо. Но применять их можно и в условиях традиционных методов производства электроэнергии. Ожидать, что инвестиции государства и бизнеса в «зелёную» энергетику будут сравнимы хотя бы с половиной трат той же Германии, не приходится.

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«Зелёная» энергетика

Практика развенчивает теоретические мифы о «зелёной» энергетике

К неожиданным результатам привела переоценка возможностей «зелёной» энергетики, причем во многих странах мира одновременно. Миф о том, что этот способ производства электроэнергии при минимальной угрозе экологии сможет обеспечить весь мир недорогой возобновляемой энергией, похоже, не совсем правда. Во всяком случае, с точки зрения выгодности внедрения альтернативной энергетики. И виновата в этом, в том числе, и подешевевшая нефть.

Себестоимость производства альтернативной электроэнергии за последний год существенно не изменилась, а вот цена нефти и газа заметно упала. Получать энергию за счёт сжигания полезных ископаемых и так было дешевле, чем строить солнечные электростанции, например. Теперь же разрыв в себестоимости стал ещё больше, и не в пользу «зелёной» энергетики.

С точки зрения экологии также происходит своеобразный парадокс. «Зелёная» энергетика должна была снизить выбросы вредных веществ в окружающую среду. Но они и так снизились на 10% за последние 10 лет, данные для США. Связано это с переходом многих производств на сжигание газа. Так что и с точки зрения экологии спешить с внедрением дорогой и высокотехнологичной „зелёной“ энергетикой, кажется, не стоит.

«Зелёная» энергетика

На альтернативную энергетику также возлагали надёжу в части создания новых рабочих мест. По всему миру к 2020 году оптимисты ориентируются на миллион дополнительных занятых рабочих рук, а к 2050 на 3 млн. Но что делать с теми людьми, которых будут вынуждены уволить закрывающиеся компании, производящие электроэнергию традиционными способами?

А сточки зрения общемировой стабильности, дела обстоят ещё хуже. Многие страны в качестве основного поступления в бюджет имеют только одну статью дохода — продажа нефти и газа. С переходом на возобновляемые источники энергии необходимость в покупке этих ресурсов отпадёт. И что делать этим государствам? Не спровоцирует ли внедрение «зелёной «энергетики новый виток революций, переворотов и роста числа террористических очагов?

Конечно, энергосбережение, снижение затрат на транспортировку энергии и внедрение альтернативных способов добычи — очень важные процессы. Но вопросов пока ещё слишком много. И на большинство из них человечеству придётся ответить уже в самом ближайшем будущем.

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Солнечная энергетика

В США солнечную энергию буду учить использовать военных

Солнечная энергетика — перспективная отрасль. Многие страны мира видят в ней один из самых выгодных для себя возобновляемых способов получения электрической энергии. Недавний визит президента США на авиабазу Hill был сопровождён достаточно громким заявлением: 75 000 военных могут пройти обучение по солнечной энергетике.

Почему возобновляемые методы получения электроэнергии так важны? Они делают страну автономной и защищённой от срывов поставки топлива, необходимого всем традиционным электростанциям. Несмотря на не самый высокий в отрасли КПД, солнечная энергетика весьма перспективна. Особенно в США, где достаточно мест, климатические условия в которых располагают к постройке таких электростанций.

Солнечная энергетика

Авиационная база Hill, расположенная в штате Юта, выбрана для подобного заявления не случайно. Здесь у американских военных построены новейшие энергоустановки, работающие от солнечного света. Поэтому именно тут президент США и озвучил план по переобучению бывших военных в специалистов по солнечной энергетике.

Кроме снижения риска нарушения электроснабжения по причинам, от страны не зависящим, использование альтернативных способов получения электроэнергии позволяют значительно снизить выбросы углекислого газа, неизбежно образующегося при сжигании любого топлива на ТЭС. Энергоэффективность и снижение потерь энергии при транспортировке также часто звучат в программах развития энергетики многих государств.

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Солнечная энергия

Себестоимость солнечной электроэнергии становится ниже?

Основным препятствием на светлой дороге увеличения доли электроэнергии, производимой из солнечного света, в общем производстве электричества является её относительная дороговизна. Действительно, фотоэлементы, необходимые для преобразования энергии, практически не требуют затрат на свою эксплуатацию, но вот производство их недёшево. Впрочем, эксперты прогнозируют снижение себестоимости до вполне приемлемых пределов.

Солнечная энергия

По новым данным экспертов Международного энергетического агентства, выработка солнечной энергии стала дешевле. Уже сейчас стоимость в расчёте на 1 Вт составляет не 4 доллара США, как лет 5-6 назад, а всего 0.8. Более того, эти же эксперты прогнозируют дальнейшее серьёзное снижение до 0.3 доллара на Вт к 2050 году. Перспектива далёкая только на первый взгляд. Многие концепции развития энергетики рассчитываются и на более длительные периоды.

Позитив экспертов Международного энергетического агентства основан на неугасающем интересе правительств и частных инвесторов к солнечной энергетике. Разумеется, и указанные параметры себестоимости производства достижимы только в условиях осуществления постоянных инвестиций и научных исследований в этой области. В общей картине электроэнергетики к 2050 году на долю солнечной энергии должно выпасть 16%. Для сравнения, гелиотермические электростанции смогут обеспечить всего 11%. Как бы то ни было, технологии энергосбережения и снижения потерь на этапе транспортировки энергии будут, как и прежде, играть огромную роль и в далёком 2050.

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Перспективы развития энергетики обсудят в Москве

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Современная российская энергетика вышла на новый уровень развития, позволяющий смотреть в будущее весьма уверенно. А потому и проблемы, которые эта отрасль должна решать сегодня и в недалеком будущем, состоят не только и не столько в увеличении размеров сети, а в ее энергоэффективности.

Именно проблемы энергоэффективности и будут центральной темой предстоящей конференции, организованной Международной Ассоциацией ТРАВЭК при поддержке Академии Наук РФ, Академии электротехнических наук РФ, Российского национального комитета СИГРЭ, Министерства промышленности и торговли РФ, Министерства энергетики РФ.

Свое мнение выскажут специалисты из разных стран мира. 150 участников из России, Беларуси, Украины, ряда стран западной Европы, Бразилии, США и Турции. Конференция носит научно-технический характер. Не исключено, что на ней будут озвучены очень интересные новости, которые двинут нашу отрасль вперед в части энергоэффективности.

Участники форума под общим названием «Перспективы развития электроэнергетики и высоковольтного электротехнического оборудования. Энергоэффективность и энергосбережение» обсудят новейшие методы, позволяющие сократить потери энергии при передаче ее по сети, строить и внедрять более энергоэффективное оборудование. Конференция пройдет в Москве и продлится 2 дня.

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