Архив метки: альтернативная энергетика

Внедрение «зелёной» энергетики отстаёт от графика во всём мире

Внедрение «зелёной» энергетики отстаёт от графика во всём мире

По планам Международного энергетического агентства, МАЭ, в мире к 2030 году треть всей электроэнергии должна производиться исключительно возобновляемыми методами. Но сегодня, в 2015, трудно поверить в столь оптимистичные прогнозы. Во всём мире, за исключением разве что Германии, график перехода на «зелёную» энергетику не выдерживается.

Внедрение «зелёной» энергетики отстаёт от графика во всём мире

Многие эксперты отмечают, что темпы роста доли возобновляемой энергетики в мире невелики. Так, Сергей Писарев, аналитик ИК Rye, Man & Gor Securitie, утверждает, что в США по состоянию на 2014 год доля «зелёной» энергетики всего 9.8%. Теоретически можно предположить, что за ближайшие 10-15 лет будет изобретена какая-то альтернативная технология получения электроэнергии возобновляемым путём, которая сможет конкурировать по удельной себестоимости киловатта с традиционными. Или резко вырастут инвестиции в эту отрасль. Но шансы очень невелики.

Почему именно от США весь мир ждёт шагов в сторону «зелёной» энергетики? Эта страна вышла в лидеры по вредным выбросам в атмосферу, наряду с Китаем, Индией Японией и Евросоюзом. Российская энергетика серьёзного вклада не вносит, всего 4% от общемирового объёма. Так что для нас переход на „зелёные“ технологии ещё менее оправдан.

Но роль энергоэффективных технологий, сокращения потерь электроэнергии при транспортировке и энергосбережения всё же сложно переоценить. Их внедрение необходимо. Но применять их можно и в условиях традиционных методов производства электроэнергии. Ожидать, что инвестиции государства и бизнеса в «зелёную» энергетику будут сравнимы хотя бы с половиной трат той же Германии, не приходится.

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Альтернативная энергетика: темпы роста в России пока ниже, чем в развитых странах

Закон о стимулировании в России развития возобновляемых способов получения электроэнергии вступил в силу 5 февраля. Все объекты, генерирующие энергию таким способом, будут включаться в программу перспективного развития с возможностью компенсации потерь из-за разницы в стоимости киловатт-часа.

Альтернативная энергетика

Компенсации будут выплачиваться сетевым организациям, которые по новому закону должны будут закупать электроэнергию у станций возобновляемой энергетики. На окупаемость, по мнению авторов закона, такая альтернативная энергетика выйдет только через 15 лет.

Достаточно ли хорошо будет работать данный закон покажет время. Сейчас эксперты считают, что потенциал России в области возобновляемой энергетики в 100 раз превышает реальный уровень производства. И это подтверждают успехи отрасли альтернативной электроэнергии в других странах. Например, солнечная энергетика обеспечивает 10% домохозяйств в Бангладеш. В России не так много солнца во всех регионах, но есть свои ресурсы. Не стоит забывать и о снижении потерь при транспортировке электроэнергии и повышении энергоэффективности производства.

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Альтернативная энергетика

Альтернативный киловатт перестал быть много дороже обычного: пока только в США

Альтернативная энергетика пока выглядит красиво только на бумаге. Да, возможность получать киловатты электроэнергии, не сжигая угля и нефти, выглядит очень привлекательно. С другой стороны, ни мощность станций, ни их экономическая эффективность не могут пока на равных конкурировать с традиционными методами производства электричества. Поэтому новость о приближении стоимости одного киловатта альтернативной энергетики к цене традиционного, которую опубликовали эксперты из США, можно считать обнадёживающей.

Внедрение альтернативной энергетики возможно только с помощью государства
Такие проекты как альтернативная энергетика могут внедряться в реальную экономику только с помощью субсидий. Дело в том, что окупаются эти затраты лет через 10-15 или не окупаются вовсе, если технология получения энергии окажется в будущем неэффективной. Под субсидии в США попали следующие альтернативные виды производства электроэнергии.

Альтернативная энергетика

  • Солнечная энергетика, популярная в южных штатах страны.
  • Ветряная энергетика. Этот вид производства электроэнергии имеет более широкое применение практически на всей территории страны.

Себестоимость альтернативного киловатта снижается
В США сегодня альтернативный «солнечный» и „ветряной“ киловатт по себестоимости стал приближаться к производимым традиционными электростанциями, работающими на угле и газе. Так, компания Austin Energy из штата Техас подписала контракт на поставку солнечной электроэнергии по цене 5 центов в расчёте на один киловатт-час.

Насколько выгодной окажется эта сделка неизвестно. Но и в целом по стране ситуация похожа. По мнению компании Lazard, которая специализируется на консультациях, стоимость «солнечного» киловатта сегодня в среднем 5.6 центов, а „ветряного“ — 1.6 цента. Правда если не учитывать субсидии, то цена возрастёт до 7.2 и 3.7 цента соответственно, а это уже довольно много. Если „угольный“ киловатт стоит сегодня вполне достижимые для альтернативной энергетики 6.6 цента, то атомный — около 4-5 центов.

Только правильные долгосрочные, свыше 10 лет, инвестиции и государственные субсидии способны помочь альтернативной энергетике встать на ноги. Это позволит человечеству не беспокоиться при подходе к точке исчерпания разведанных запасов нефти и угля. Но в любом случае следует внимательно относиться и к энергоэффективности, энергосбережению и снижению потерь энергии при транспортировке. Тогда альтернативная энергетика достигнет максимума своей эффективности быстрее.

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